Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1.238897e-03 0.001393 0.001547 0.001711 0.001883 0.002055 0.002241
2025-11-09 9.995086e-04 0.001222 0.001451 0.001703 0.001970 0.002244 0.002544
2025-11-16 8.152906e-04 0.001088 0.001378 0.001703 0.002054 0.002419 0.002824
2025-11-23 6.648642e-04 0.000976 0.001316 0.001705 0.002133 0.002583 0.003087
2025-11-30 5.779570e-04 0.000925 0.001314 0.001768 0.002272 0.002807 0.003412
2025-12-07 4.644949e-04 0.000832 0.001257 0.001762 0.002332 0.002942 0.003636
2025-12-14 3.517293e-04 0.000727 0.001178 0.001727 0.002353 0.003030 0.003806
2025-12-21 2.903832e-04 0.000680 0.001163 0.001759 0.002447 0.003196 0.004058
2025-12-28 2.090456e-04 0.000595 0.001096 0.001728 0.002465 0.003275 0.004212
2026-01-04 1.559686e-04 0.000542 0.001064 0.001733 0.002523 0.003395 0.004409
2026-01-11 1.041730e-04 0.000480 0.001016 0.001717 0.002553 0.003482 0.004567
2026-01-18 6.492225e-05 0.000429 0.000977 0.001709 0.002591 0.003576 0.004731
2026-01-25 2.137247e-05 0.000356 0.000919 0.001692 0.002637 0.003703 0.004960
2026-02-01 2.977082e-07 0.000293 0.000869 0.001685 0.002696 0.003845 0.005206
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000240 0.000826 0.001685 0.002763 0.003997 0.005465
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000194 0.000788 0.001688 0.002831 0.004149 0.005724
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000176 0.000796 0.001750 0.002972 0.004384 0.006076
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000135 0.000755 0.001745 0.003028 0.004520 0.006315
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000090 0.000695 0.001709 0.003044 0.004608 0.006497
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000072 0.000685 0.001742 0.003144 0.004792 0.006788
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000040 0.000632 0.001710 0.003161 0.004878 0.006965
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000023 0.000606 0.001716 0.003224 0.005017 0.007200
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000008 0.000568 0.001700 0.003257 0.005119 0.007394